Prediction markets and traditional polls offer different ways to assess the 2026 midterm elections. Polls measure voters’ current preferences, while prediction markets reflect traders’ expectations ...

Unlike polls and surveys that ask random people their opinions, prediction markets, considered a form of gambling by many, ...

Political guru and stats expert Nate Silver has issued a stunning new prediction about the upcoming midterm elections. In his ...

Election forecaster Nate Silver has made a fresh prediction about Democrats' chances of seizing control of Congress.

The best prediction markets for politics include Kalshi and Polymarket where you can trade on the upcoming 2026 midterm ...

Mike Cetera is the editor in chief for Forbes Marketplace U.S. Mike has written and edited articles about mortgages, savings accounts, CD rates and credit cards for more than a decade. Prior to ...

Nate Silver's latest forecast gives Democrats a 94% chance to win the House and 75% to take the Senate as early voting surges ...

John Thune says Republicans will outperform the polls in toss-up senate races despite shifting campaign cash away from ...

Other seemingly close Texas races are blowouts on prediction markets.

Two prediction market platforms, Kalshi and Polymarket, show Democratic state Rep. James Talarico leading in the U.S. Senate ...

Democrats need to pick up at least four seats in November's midterm elections to win control of the 100-seat US Senate.

Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy predicted Republicans will lose the House and blamed House Republican leaders under his ...